Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.385325 3.672473 4.001663 4.414771 4.931716 5.576597 6.478571
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.001894 3.357540 3.795830 4.399051 5.253978 6.519853 8.823135
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.733115 3.106688 3.585621 4.281497 5.350483 7.148818 11.347889
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.619349 3.025678 3.568039 4.403484 5.813603 8.628745 19.089970
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.447674 2.846635 3.388463 4.245178 5.757626 9.068717 26.964165
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.302558 2.689824 3.221831 4.078005 5.637785 9.298426 39.316000
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.203022 2.587100 3.121961 4.001324 5.667592 9.962372 133.097767
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.167547 2.569205 3.142352 4.122503 6.127156 12.496559 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.154464 2.580693 3.206202 4.327582 6.860225 18.312760 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.103572 2.533678 3.174367 4.353202 7.176691 24.150272 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.061433 2.496521 3.154364 4.397401 7.570280 37.199263 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.980197 2.397436 3.027786 4.217143 7.242185 34.637231 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.935998 2.354069 2.993226 4.225617 7.535836 63.733319 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.890099 2.306059 2.947988 4.207492 7.749731 294.223861 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.832441 2.237680 2.864597 4.100308 7.619149 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.816143 2.230999 2.883562 4.211308 8.349202 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.759756 2.160567 2.790082 4.067183 8.012923 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.704792 2.090820 2.695277 3.914384 7.617159 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.666087 2.044986 2.639613 3.844090 7.548754 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.658472 2.046578 2.664941 3.955116 8.298777 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.661435 2.064518 2.719609 4.142274 9.630322 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.640892 2.044577 2.705840 4.165589 10.151248 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 1.623600 2.029116 2.699188 4.205780 10.851721 NaN NaN